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03 January 2026

Oil Conspiracy? Nah—Maduro's Fall Floods the Market and Stings Big Oil

Why Trump's Raid Was Pure Patriotism

By Juan Fermin
Nosocialism.com | January 3, 2026

The chattering class is at it again: "Trump snatched Maduro for the oil!" blare the headlines from CNN to the Guardian, spinning last night's Delta Force dawn raid as a Yankee oil heist. Never mind the narco-tyrant's fentanyl pipelines killing 100K Americans yearly or his gulags starving millions—nah, it's all about ExxonMobil's black gold fever. As if Donald J. Trump, the guy who drilled America to energy independence, woke up craving Venezuela's rusty rigs. Spare me. This narrative's as thin as Maduro's excuses for rigging elections. Let's torch it with facts: Maduro's ouster hurts Big Oil by crashing prices, just like history proves. And that's the point—Trump's playing 4D chess for freedom, not futures contracts.

Shoutout to Rickey Mitchell on X for nailing it first: "Actually, this means MORE oil on the market... Exxon/Mobil, BP and Shell WILL NOT be pleased. Even if they get their assets back... the rest of the industry is going to lose billions." Spot on. Venezuela's got the world's largest reserves (300B+ barrels), but under socialist mismanagement, output's cratered to a pathetic 1M bpd—0.8% of global supply. Pre-Chavez boom? They pumped 3.5M bpd in 1997, flooding the glut and tanking WTI to $20/bbl amid Asia's crisis. Fast-forward to 2015: Around 3M bpd, and oil plunged under $50, gutting shale startups. Today's spot? WTI's hovering at $56.83/bbl—already squeezing margins. Under $70? U.S. producers bleed. Sub-$60? Half go bust. <$50? Only the giants scrape by, marginally.

Reviving Venezuela? It'd unleash a torrent. PDVSA's pipelines are 50-year relics; full reboot costs $58B and years of work. But once online? Expect 2-3M bpd gushing back, per EIA models—enough to swamp OPEC+ cuts and yank prices to $40s or lower. Exxon et al. hate that; their seized assets (worth $7B+) are crumbs compared to the revenue bloodbath. Chevron's already griping: "Flood risk to heavy crude markets." Trump's not their puppet—he's the disruptor who made us #1 producer (13M bpd) via fracking, not foreign favors.

Why the raid, then? Simple: Smash the Cartel of the Suns' drug empire (fentanyl via Mexico), halt refugee tsunamis (7M+ fled socialism), and kneecap a terror sponsor (Iranian arms deals). Trump's Truth Social? "Narco-dictator down. Borders secure. America First." Oil? A bonus for consumers—cheaper gas at $2.50/gal, stinging sheikhs and socialists alike. Dems howl "imperialism!" because their hero Maduro mirrored their playbook: Jailed foes, rigged picks, raided riches. Trump's win exposes their flop.

EraVenezuela Output (bpd)WTI Price (avg)Market Impact
1997 Peak~3.5M$20 (glut crash)Shale startups starved; OPEC reeled
2015 Slump~3M<$50 (shale boom/gult)U.S. rigs halved; prices tanked 70%
Now (2026)~1M (crippled)$56.83Post-raid flood risks $40s; Big Oil winces

X is buzzing: #VenezuelaLibre hits 600K posts, with users like @RickeyMitchell dropping truth bombs: "Oil at $60? Half our drillers bleed—Maduro's fall spikes supply, not Trump's greed." Even oil vets chime: "Revival adds 2M bpd glut; WTI to $45 by Q3." Dems' rage? Envy—Maduro "succeeded" their wet dreams, till Trump yanked the plug.

This ain't oil imperialism; it's anti-socialist liberation. Cheaper pumps for us, pain for cartels and cronies. Trump's draining the swamp—globally. Share if you're Team Freedom over Fuel.

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Juan Fermin is the founder of Nosocialism.com, a relentless voice against the creeping tide of government overreach and media malfeasance.